Many lotto players also play combinations like 7,8,9,10,11,12. That way, we can analyze real draws that occurred in our lifetime. I will add to analysis 6 more lotto numbers. Also, Real data is worth millions of words. They say ”A picture is worth a thousand words”. The simplest way and the clearest method of proving or disproving is data analysis. It can turn into a very complicated debate. Never - ever - will we see equal frequencies of combinations - extremely rarely, that is!īut what's wrong with a lotto combination like 1-2-3-4-5-6? Why shouldn't it come out even more frequently than combinations considered to be “more random”? For example, 3,17,28,29,34,47 is considered by many more likely to be drawn because appears to be ”more random” (sic!) I think more random has come to life as a result of statistical analysis of lottery draws. But we can use computers to generate that many gazillions of combinations. Test it for billions of draws! I know, we were not built by beloved Mother Nature to live that long. I said previously that we were never ever to see equal frequencies in lotto games. The higher the odds (or lower the probability), the wider the frequency gap. The discrepancy is much wider in 6-number lotto games. Yet, some pick 3 lottery combinations have come out ten or more times, while another combination waited for over 6000 draws to see the daylight! (Real case: combination 2 1 4 in Pennsylvania Lottery.)
In the pick-3 lottery game, every combination has the same probability: 1/1000. I presented on one of my Web pages ( Gambling, Lottery Analysis: Odds, House Edge, Fraud) the reality of lottery combinations. Life is a whole lot more complex than that. Real-life random events do not deal with simply one success in one trial. All real-life random events are characterized by successes and trials. Successes and trials are real elements, not abstract concepts. No event can have more than one success in one trial! Very logical - or is it? NOT! Most people confuse probability for degree of certainty! You need read more (at this Web site) on the essential distinction between probability and degree of certainty. This explains more clearly the requirement that the probability cannot be larger than 1. We can infuse more life into probability if we look at the probability as:Įxpected number of successes in one trial. But the probability is rather an abstract concept. If the 6/49 lotto has a total of 13,983,816 combinations, and only one is drawn as the winner, the probability is undeniably 1 / 13,983,816. Let us start with the fundamental concept of probability. I was also strongly opinionated in this regard. If that's the goal, be advised to never play the statistically dreadful 1 2 3 4 5 6! Thusly, if you win the jackpot, the value of the prize would be “tragically” worse than meager! If one hits the lotto jackpot, one expects to turn into a never-work-for-others freak. Incidentally, the lottery combination 1-2-3-4-5-6 is played by thousands of lotto players worldwide in any drawing.
It is the kind of issue that pits brother/sister against brother/sister, and enemy against foe.not to mention friend against lover. Only fools can waste their money and play such a combination!" It represents a weird arrangement of lottery numbers. I play it religiously!"Ģ: "NO, NO, NO! Lotto combination 1,2,3,4,5,6 should not be played. 1: "Lotto combination 1-2-3-4-5-6 has the same chance of being drawn as any other lottery combination.
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